2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming

2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming
	November 4, 2014
	County results ; Enzi: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90%
U.S. senator before election; Mike Enzi; Republican	Elected U.S. Senator ; Mike Enzi; Republican

The 2014 United States Senate election in Wyoming took place on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate for the State of Wyoming. Incumbent Republican senator Mike Enzi won re-election to a fourth term in office. Enzi held Democratic nominee Charlie Hardy to just 17.4 percent of the vote – the lowest percentage of the vote for any major party nominee in Wyoming U.S. Senate electoral history out of the 39 races conducted during the direct election era.^[1]

Republican primary

No incumbent Wyoming Republican senator running for re-election in the direct vote era has failed to win their party's nomination.^[2]

Candidates

Declared

Thomas Bleming, former mercenary and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012^[3]^[4]
Arthur Bruce Clifton, oil company worker^[5]^[6]
Mike Enzi, incumbent senator^[7]
James "Coaltrain" Gregory^[5]
Bryan E. Miller, retired air force officer and energy consultant^[5]

Withdrew

Liz Cheney, attorney, political commentator and daughter of Dick Cheney^[8]

Endorsements

Mike Enzi

John Barrasso, U.S. Senator (R-WY)^[9]
Roy Blunt, U.S. Senator (R-MO)^[10]
Richard Burr, U.S. Senator (R-NC)^[10]
John Cornyn, U.S. Senator (R-TX)^[10]
Orrin Hatch, U.S. Senator (R-UT)^[10]
Cynthia Lummis, U.S. Representative (R-WY)^[11]
John McCain, U.S. Senator (R-AZ) and nominee for President in 2008^[11]
Mitch McConnell, U.S. Senator (R-KY) and Senate Minority Leader^[9]
Jerry Moran, U.S. Senator (R-KS) and Chair of the National Republican Senatorial Committee^[9]
Rand Paul, U.S. Senator (R-KY)^[12]
Richard Shelby, U.S. Senator (R-AL)^[10]
Olympia Snowe, former U.S. Senator (R-ME)^[13]

Liz Cheney (withdrawn)

U.S. Ambassadors

Mel Sembler, former Finance Chairman of the Republican National Committee, former Ambassador to Australia, former Ambassador to Italy^[14]

Individuals

Tammy Bruce, talk radio host, conservative political commentator^[15]
Sean Hannity, talk radio/television host, conservative political commentator^[16]
Mark Levin, talk radio host, conservative political commentator^[17]
Rush Limbaugh, talk radio host, conservative political commentator^[18]

Polling

Hypothetical polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Enzi	Liz Cheney	Undecided
Harper Polling	July 17–18, 2013	422	± 4.77%	55%	21%	24%
Public Policy Polling	July 19–21, 2013	780	± 3.5%	54%	26%	19%
Wickers Group ^	August 22–28, 2013	400	± 4.5%	61%	21%	18%
Wickers Group ^	October 25–28, 2013	400	± 4.5%	69%	17%	14%

^ Internal poll for the Mike Enzi campaign

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Liz Cheney	Cynthia Lummis	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 19–21, 2013	780	± 3.5%	34%	41%	25%

Results

Results by county:

Enzi

70–80%
80–90%

Republican primary results^[19]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Mike Enzi (incumbent)	77,965	78.51%
	Republican	Bryan E. Miller	9,330	9.39%
	Republican	James "Coaltrain" Gregory	3,740	3.77%
	Republican	Thomas Bleming	2,504	2.52%
	Republican	Arthur Bruce Clifton	1,403	1.41%
	Republican	Write-in	346	0.35%
	Republican	Over Votes	51	0.05%
	Republican	Under Votes	3,973	4.00%
Total votes			99,312	100.00%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

William Bryk, attorney from New York and perennial candidate^[5]
Charlie Hardy, retired priest and candidate for Congress in 2012^[20]
Al Hamburg, retired house painter, veteran and perennial candidate^[5]^[21]^[22]
Rex Wilde, contracting company employee and candidate for governor in 2010^[23]

Declined

Gary Trauner, businessman and nominee for Wyoming's at-large congressional district in 2006 and 2008^[24]

Results

Results by county:

Hardy

30–40%
40–50%
50–60%

Wilde

40–50%

Democratic primary results^[19]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Charlie Hardy	7,200	39.33%
	Democratic	Rex Wilde	3,012	16.46%
	Democratic	Al Hamburg	2,988	16.32%
	Democratic	William Bryk	1,670	9.12%
	Democratic	Write-in	216	1.18%
	Democratic	Over Votes	31	0.17%
	Democratic	Under Votes	3,189	17.42%
Total votes			18,306	100.00%

Independents and Third Parties

Candidates

Declared

Curt Gottshall (Independent), commercial airline pilot^[25]
Joseph Porambo (Libertarian), cook at an assisted living home^[26]

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[27]	Solid R	November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[28]	Safe R	November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report^[29]	Safe R	November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics^[30]	Safe R	November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Enzi (R)	Charlie Hardy (D)	Other	Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	July 5–24, 2014	419	± 5.1%	66%	23%	5%	7%
Rasmussen Reports	August 20–21, 2014	700	± 4%	63%	27%	4%	5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	August 18 – September 2, 2014	350	± 8%	66%	21%	4%	8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	September 20 – October 1, 2014	264	± 7%	75%	17%	2%	6%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov	October 16–23, 2014	258	± 11%	67%	27%	0%	6%

Hypothetical polling

With Enzi

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Enzi (R)	Dave Freudenthal (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 19–21, 2013	1,203	± 2.8%	54%	31%	—	15%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Mike Enzi (R)	Gary Trauner (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 19–21, 2013	1,203	± 2.8%	66%	19%	—	14%

With Cheney

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Liz Cheney (R)	Dave Freudenthal (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 19–21, 2013	1,203	± 2.8%	42%	45%	—	13%

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Liz Cheney (R)	Gary Trauner (D)	Other	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	July 19–21, 2013	1,203	± 2.8%	49%	31%	—	20%

Results

United States Senate election in Wyoming, 2014^[31]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%	±%
	Republican	Mike Enzi (incumbent)	121,554	72.19%	-3.44%
	Democratic	Charlie Hardy	29,377	17.45%	-6.81%
	Independent	Curt Gottshall	13,311	7.90%	N/A
	Libertarian	Joseph Porambo	3,677	2.18%	N/A
	Write-in		471	0.28%	+0.17%
Total votes			168,390	100.00%	N/A
	Republican hold

References

↑ Ostermeier, Eric (November 10, 2014). "Rock Bottom: Democrats Hit Multiple Low Water Marks in US Senate Elections". Smart Politics.
↑ Ostermeier, Eric (July 9, 2013). "Could Liz Cheney End Wyoming's GOP Incumbency Streak?". Smart Politics.
↑ "Bleming Announces Another Run for Wyoming U.S. Senate Seat". Kitsap Sun. May 17, 2013. Retrieved June 15, 2013.
↑ "Ex-Mercenary Running for Wyo. Senate Seat has 'Psychopath' in Crosshairs". U.S. News & World Report. June 28, 2013. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
1 2 3 4 5 "2014 Primary Candidate Roster" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
↑ "Arizona man the only Democratic challenger to Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummi". Casper Star-Tribune. May 30, 2014. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
↑ Reilly, Mollie (July 16, 2013). "Mike Enzi Will Seek Reelection In 2014 Senate Race". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 16, 2013.
↑ Martin, Jonathan (January 6, 2014). "Liz Cheney Quits Wyoming Senate Race". The New York Times. Retrieved January 6, 2014.
1 2 3 Zeleny, Jeff (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney Jumps Into Wyoming Senate Race Against Mike Enzi". ABC News. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
1 2 3 4 5 Everett, Burgess (July 28, 2013). "GOP Senators to Liz Cheney: We Like Mike Enzi". Politico. Retrieved July 29, 2013.
1 2 "McCain supports Mike Enzi in race over Liz Cheney". AZCentral.com. July 21, 2013. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
↑ Burns, Alexander (July 11, 2013). "Rand Paul: I've got Mike Enzi's back vs. Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
↑ Everett, Burgess (July 22, 2013). "Olympia Snowe: Liz Cheney challenge to Mike Enzi 'unfortunate'". Politico. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
↑ Hohmann, James; Burns, Alexander; Raju, Manu (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney announces Senate bid". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
↑ "Twitter / HeyTammyBruce: I'm thrilled w @Liz_Cheney's". Twitter.com. July 16, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2014.
↑ "Sean Hannity Endorses Liz Cheney For Senate". Huffington Post. July 19, 2013. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
↑ Spiering, Charlie (July 22, 2013). "Conservative talk radio lining up behind Liz Cheney". Washington Examiner. Retrieved July 22, 2013.
↑ Gold, Hadas (July 22, 2013). "Rush Limbaugh lines up with Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.
1 2 "2014 Official Primary Election results" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved September 2, 2014.
↑ Roerink, Kyle (January 21, 2014). "Mike Enzi has new opponent: Democrat and former Catholic priest Charlie Hardy". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
↑ Laura Hancock (June 1, 2014). "Felon, out-of-staters among candidates who filed to run for office". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
↑ Trevor Brown (May 25, 2014). "Controversial candidate bids for U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
↑ Roerink, Kyle (January 22, 2014). "Second Democrat enters race against Wyoming U.S. Sen. Enzi". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.
↑ Edwards-Levy, Ariel (July 23, 2013). "Liz Cheney Trails Mike Enzi In Wyoming Senate Race: Poll". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 24, 2013.
↑ Trevor Brown (April 3, 2014). "Laramie pilot is making independent Senate run". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
↑ Trevor Brown (April 9, 2014). "Casper cook seeks U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.
↑ "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
↑ "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
↑ "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
↑ "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.
↑ "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 4, 2014" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 16, 2014.

External links

Official campaign websites (Archived)

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[1] Ostermeier, Eric (November 10, 2014). "Rock Bottom: Democrats Hit Multiple Low Water Marks in US Senate Elections". Smart Politics.

[2] Ostermeier, Eric (July 9, 2013). "Could Liz Cheney End Wyoming's GOP Incumbency Streak?". Smart Politics.

[3] "Bleming Announces Another Run for Wyoming U.S. Senate Seat". Kitsap Sun. May 17, 2013. Retrieved June 15, 2013.

[4] "Ex-Mercenary Running for Wyo. Senate Seat has 'Psychopath' in Crosshairs". U.S. News & World Report. June 28, 2013. Retrieved July 8, 2013.

[roster-5] 1 2 3 4 5 "2014 Primary Candidate Roster" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved June 3, 2014.

[arizonamam-6] "Arizona man the only Democratic challenger to Wyoming Rep. Cynthia Lummi". Casper Star-Tribune. May 30, 2014. Retrieved June 3, 2014.

[7] Reilly, Mollie (July 16, 2013). "Mike Enzi Will Seek Reelection In 2014 Senate Race". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 16, 2013.

[quitter-8] Martin, Jonathan (January 6, 2014). "Liz Cheney Quits Wyoming Senate Race". The New York Times. Retrieved January 6, 2014.

[endorse-9] 1 2 3 Zeleny, Jeff (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney Jumps Into Wyoming Senate Race Against Mike Enzi". ABC News. Retrieved July 23, 2013.

[Senators-10] 1 2 3 4 5 Everett, Burgess (July 28, 2013). "GOP Senators to Liz Cheney: We Like Mike Enzi". Politico. Retrieved July 29, 2013.

[endorse2-11] 1 2 "McCain supports Mike Enzi in race over Liz Cheney". AZCentral.com. July 21, 2013. Retrieved July 23, 2013.

[12] Burns, Alexander (July 11, 2013). "Rand Paul: I've got Mike Enzi's back vs. Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 22, 2013.

[13] Everett, Burgess (July 22, 2013). "Olympia Snowe: Liz Cheney challenge to Mike Enzi 'unfortunate'". Politico. Retrieved July 24, 2013.

[14] Hohmann, James; Burns, Alexander; Raju, Manu (July 16, 2013). "Liz Cheney announces Senate bid". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.

[15] "Twitter / HeyTammyBruce: I'm thrilled w @Liz_Cheney's". Twitter.com. July 16, 2013. Retrieved July 25, 2014.

[16] "Sean Hannity Endorses Liz Cheney For Senate". Huffington Post. July 19, 2013. Retrieved July 22, 2013.

[17] Spiering, Charlie (July 22, 2013). "Conservative talk radio lining up behind Liz Cheney". Washington Examiner. Retrieved July 22, 2013.

[18] Gold, Hadas (July 22, 2013). "Rush Limbaugh lines up with Liz Cheney". Politico. Retrieved July 23, 2013.

[WYprimary-19] 1 2 "2014 Official Primary Election results" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved September 2, 2014.

[20] Roerink, Kyle (January 21, 2014). "Mike Enzi has new opponent: Democrat and former Catholic priest Charlie Hardy". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.

[21] Laura Hancock (June 1, 2014). "Felon, out-of-staters among candidates who filed to run for office". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved June 3, 2014.

[22] Trevor Brown (May 25, 2014). "Controversial candidate bids for U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.

[23] Roerink, Kyle (January 22, 2014). "Second Democrat enters race against Wyoming U.S. Sen. Enzi". Casper Star-Tribune. Retrieved January 22, 2014.

[24] Edwards-Levy, Ariel (July 23, 2013). "Liz Cheney Trails Mike Enzi In Wyoming Senate Race: Poll". Huffington Post. Retrieved July 24, 2013.

[25] Trevor Brown (April 3, 2014). "Laramie pilot is making independent Senate run". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.

[26] Trevor Brown (April 9, 2014). "Casper cook seeks U.S. Senate seat". Wyoming Tribune Eagle. Retrieved June 3, 2014.

[27] "2014 Senate Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.

[28] "The Crystal Ball's Final 2014 Picks". Sabato's Crystal Ball. November 3, 2014. Retrieved September 20, 2018.

[29] "2014 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved September 20, 2018.

[30] "2014 Elections Map - Battle for the Senate 2014". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved September 20, 2018.

[31] "Statewide Candidates Official Summary Wyoming General Election - November 4, 2014" (PDF). Wyoming Secretary of State. Retrieved November 16, 2014.

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Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Endorsements

Polling

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Independents and Third Parties

Candidates

Declared

General election

Predictions

Polling

Results

See also

References

External links